Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 15.183413 17.143403 19.276425 21.772736 24.617445 27.762062 31.507000
2025-02-23 11.825521 14.306471 17.210659 20.870943 25.374883 30.753398 37.689652
2025-03-02 9.529059 12.250748 15.648921 20.224823 26.258572 33.987942 44.712477
2025-03-09 7.933364 10.778691 14.546520 19.938928 27.520609 37.892333 53.313213
2025-03-16 6.698298 9.571266 13.586342 19.665148 28.737708 41.937294 62.889340
2025-03-23 5.942638 8.902274 13.253476 20.201847 31.180123 48.126223 76.786547
2025-03-30 5.184919 8.107750 12.607971 20.154650 32.722596 53.220699 90.013811
2025-04-06 4.464236 7.257987 11.744167 19.612166 33.366504 56.975158 101.775654
2025-04-13 3.905710 6.584160 11.057255 19.239367 34.212939 61.191571 115.185070
2025-04-20 3.580421 6.252214 10.888207 19.725530 36.645194 68.632696 136.146451
2025-04-27 3.315444 5.985757 10.790494 20.317287 39.364401 77.084611 160.918458
2025-05-04 3.041483 5.663469 10.543152 20.581059 41.483065 84.730530 185.685483
2025-05-11 2.705785 5.188748 9.960898 20.130002 42.151356 89.689667 206.100777
2025-05-18 2.425303 4.783831 9.459225 19.767157 42.953594 95.120202 229.004069
2025-05-25 2.190067 4.438183 9.029198 19.489359 43.901496 101.084724 254.757723
2025-06-01 2.006048 4.173691 8.730734 19.453578 45.403642 108.662549 286.636231
2025-06-08 1.838895 3.922960 8.427277 19.358352 46.752142 116.154542 320.310646
2025-06-15 1.746677 3.823463 8.441972 20.014131 50.086273 129.404057 373.914182
2025-06-22 1.620541 3.631272 8.220486 20.059857 51.867815 138.934920 419.243302
2025-06-29 1.474821 3.375546 7.817201 19.584998 52.178810 144.492047 453.859758
2025-07-06 1.354238 3.164051 7.491472 19.258652 52.839075 151.193632 494.161834
2025-07-13 1.292333 3.086625 7.483731 19.779340 56.017180 166.086848 566.878691
2025-07-20 1.239830 3.025833 7.509645 20.398120 59.614799 183.118928 652.713165